Credit David Brown & Bob Hoye
Credit David Brown
The term "Rational Fringe" has been used to distinguish our research from the mainstream convictions that financial history was random and could be managed by inspired manipulation of interest rates.
Our models are based upon a thorough review of the highly volatile conclusions of 5 previous new financial eras. This provides forecasts of significant trend changes with enough lead time to formulate strategy. See our notes on the Capitulation Model.
Our original observations were that key financial sectors such as the stock market or the yield curve each recorded similar behaviour patterns through each previous era of great financial booms.
The conclusion was that these patterns would provide a guide through our wild financial party and that the action would override orthodox financial research and policy making.
Our models are based upon a thorough review of the highly volatile conclusions of 5 previous new financial eras. This provides forecasts of significant trend changes with enough lead time to formulate strategy. See our notes on the Capitulation Model.
Our original observations were that key financial sectors such as the stock market or the yield curve each recorded similar behaviour patterns through each previous era of great financial booms.
The conclusion was that these patterns would provide a guide through our wild financial party and that the action would override orthodox financial research and policy making.
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