Tuesday, September 18, 2012

CHART OF THE DAY: Adam Parker 2012 Year End Outlook - Business Insider


 In case you didn't know, the S&P stands at 1457.

In a massive presentation on his year-end predictions, Parker explains why:
  • Earnings growth is very poor.
  • Earnings are volatile, and that's also ominous.
  • Historically, extreme rates (both high and low) are bearish. Our current sub-zero interest rates are bad.
  • Historic price-to-earnings ratios at this time of year suggest a downturn. "Investors are overpaying for cyclical earnings!" he exclaims, adding, "most industry groups appear to be over-earning right now."

 Probable Weighted Target is 1167 0r down ~20 %


 

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