Greed and Capitalism

What kind of society isn't structured on greed? The problem of social organization is how to set up an arrangement under which greed will do the least harm; capitalism is that kind of a system.
- Milton Friedman

Thursday, May 24, 2012

Auto Outlook: Warren Buffett takes a liking to GM

Auto Outlook: Warren Buffett takes a liking to GM - UPI.com

 Don't look for General Motors Co. to shed the nickname "Government Motors" anytime soon even though billionaire Warren Buffett has taken a serious liking to the stock.

Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway disclosed in a filing it bought $256.6 million in GM stock, 10 million shares. The U.S. Treasury still owns about 500 million shares three years after the $49.5 million bailout.

GM, which is selling Buicks and Chevys like rice cakes in China, may be posting nice profits four years after its bankruptcy, but the Treasury still owns a 26 percent stake in the company and is in no hurry to part with it.

"Our perspective is that the company had made real progress, but the market hasn't given them as much credit for that as it might," Assistant Treasury Secretary Tim Massad, who oversees what remains of the Troubled Asset Relief Program, said in an interview with The Detroit News.

The News said the government would lose more than $15 billion of its investment if it sold its shares in GM at current prices. GM stock, which closed at $21.18 on Friday, would have to sell for $53 a share for Treasury to break even.


Administration officials told the News Treasury will not sell any GM stock before the fall election.

"We have to balance maximizing recovery for the taxpayers with the speed of exit," said Massad.

GM cut back its presence on Facebook before the social media Web site's initial public offering last week, saying it would save the $10 million it spent on paid advertising on social media because the ads were not generating sales.

The Wall Street Journal said GM spent $10 million for ads on Facebook and $30 million more on its Facebook fan pages -- a drop in the bucket of GM's $4 billion annual advertising budget.
GM still spends more than $1.1 billion a year on television advertising and a mere $270 million on the Internet.

"We regularly review our overall media spend and make adjustments as needed," a GM spokesman said. "This happens as a regular course of business and it's not unusual for us to move our spending around various media outlets -- especially with the growth of multiple social and digital media outlets. In terms of Facebook specifically, while we currently do not plan to continue with advertising, we remain committed to an aggressive content strategy through all of our products and brands, as it continues to be a very effective tool for engaging with our customers."

Tuesday, May 22, 2012

Facebook Slides Amid Roadshow Questions - WSJ.com

This is bad news all around with all the speculative money getting drained off into this giant boondoggle!!!


Facebook Slides Amid Roadshow Questions - WSJ.com
Analysts for at least two of Facebook Inc.'s FB -6.61% lead underwriters revised their financial forecasts for the company while it was holding IPO roadshow meetings with investors, according to people close to the deal.
Morgan Stanley MS +2.31% and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. GS +1.89% updated their financial projections for the social network after the company added warnings to its initial-public-offering prospectus about how its user base is increasing more rapidly than the number of ads it delivers. That trend was blamed in part on increased use of Facebook on mobile devices, where it traditionally hasn't shown ads to viewers.

Although the exact date of the analyst revisions wasn't clear, people close to the deal said that they were changed soon after Facebook updated its prospectus on May 9, about a week before the offering priced.


Large institutions, whose interest in a stock offering is key to setting its price, would have known about Facebook's filing and the analyst revisions at least seven business days before they placed final orders for the IPO, according to people familiar with the situation.
In Goldman Sachs's case, the research revision was part of an updated offering memo sent out to prospective buyers by its equity capital market team. The memo went to all customers who had expressed interest in buying the stock, according to a person familiar with the situation.

Underwriters are barred by Securities and Exchange Commission rules from publicly issuing research on the IPOs they are involved in. But analysts are allowed to discuss their views with clients during these roadshows.

Goldman's customer base overwhelmingly skews toward large institutions, unlike Morgan Stanley, which also has a large individual-investor customer base.

Facebook's stock was recently trading down 4.5%. The stock lost 11% on Monday as more investors and analysts began to question the size of the company's public debut, which initially valued the company at $104 billion. The company is now worth about $90 billion, based on Tuesday's stock price.

The analyst revisions were earlier reported by Reuters, which also cited underwriter J.P. Morgan Chase JPM +5.17% & Co. as having revised its estimates.

Sunday, May 20, 2012

Facebook surprisingly flat in market debut

If the CEO of a public company says the company's mission isn't to be a public company, wouldn't that make shareholders nervous? It might be a convenient way to cash out his holdings but it is no big deal otherwise?  Maybe $104 billion is a rich valuation and the underwriters left little upside for investors.

Facebook falls flat in market debut | SBS World News

 
Investors were expected to be hungry to get a piece of Facebook, which has become a global phenomenon since its humble beginnings in 2004 as a project of then-Harvard student Mark Zuckerberg and his classmates.

Zuckerberg, 28, wearing his trademark hooded sweatshirt, remotely rang the bell to open the Nasdaq, marking the start of trade.

He told the crowd at the company's new campus in Menlo Park, California, that going public was a "milestone" but added: "Our mission isn't to be a public company. Our mission is to make the world more open and connected."

Trip Chowdhry, who follows Facebook for Global Equities Research, said the "lacklustre" opening was because the company had failed to answer crucial questions about how it will boost revenues and adapt to the mobile internet.


"Management cannot sing and dance around the key issues," he said.


There are concerns about Facebook's long-term ability to generate ad revenues, fuelled by General Motors' decision earlier this week to pull its advertising.

GM had been spending about $10 million on paid advertising and $30 million on unpaid marketing on Facebook.

Another shadow hanging over Facebook is privacy.

Some consumer and privacy advocates say Facebook has been too loose with user data and hope that as a publicly traded company it may change its tune.

The IPO gave Facebook a dizzying value of $104 billion at its market debut.




Aura Minerals

 The story of this stock seems to have been about trying to pick a bottom on the stock price as analysts from several brokerages predicted a turnaround in the company's fortunes.



What you need to know before markets open | Marketscope | Investing | Financial Post



   Mar 24, 2011
 Yamana Gold Inc: The company said it increased its stake in Aura Minerals Inc by four-fifths to 18.7% by buying about 19 million shares of the mineral exploration company.




Re  Mar 31, 2011

 * Aura Minerals Inc.: The gold producer’s quarterly net loss quadrupled as a three-fold rise in sales was offset by impairment charges, and the company said it expects to produce at least 13% more gold in 2011.

Thursday, May 17, 2012

Options Industry Council

This site offers courses in all aspects of options trading for your education. 

Options Overview

 http://www.optionseducation.org/getting_started/options_overview.html

Options Overview

Getting Started in Options

Since there are so many available options - and so many ways to trade them - you might not know where to begin. But getting started is easier than you think, once you determine your goals. 

What is an Option?

An option is a contract to buy or sell a specific financial product officially known as the option's underlying instrument or underlying interest. For equity options, the underlying instrument is a stock, exchange-traded fund (ETF), or similar product. The contract itself is very precise. It establishes a specific price, called the strike price, at which the contract may be exercised, or acted on. And it has an expiration date. When an option expires, it no longer has value and no longer exists.



Benefits & Risks

Most strategies that options investors use have limited risk but also limited profit potential. For this reason, options strategies are not get-rich-quick schemes. Transactions generally require less capital than equivalent stock transactions, and therefore return smaller dollar figures - but a potentially greater percentage of the investment - than equivalent stock transactions.

Options Pricing

Though their predictive value has limits, the key components of theoretical option pricing still offer an excellent tool for helping investors anticipate price movements and explain price relationships between options.

Capitalism

"Property is the fruit of labor; property is desirable; it is a positive good in the world."
- Abraham Lincoln



Keiser Report: Debt-a-holic Zombies (E289) - YouTube

Keiser Report: Debt-a-holic Zombies (E289) - YouTube



May 17, 2012 by In this episode, Max Keiser and co-host, Stacy Herbert, discuss the Devil's Breath of too much debt and JP Morgan's black and blue dementia. In the second half of the show Max talks to Mike Maloney about gold, silver and Hollywood accounting.

Follow Max Keiser on Twitter: http://twitter.com/maxkeiser

Watch all Keiser Report shows here:
http://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PL768A33676917AE90 (E1-E200)
http://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLC3F29DDAA1BABFCF (E201-current)

Subscribe to RT! http://www.youtube.com/subscription_center?add_user=RussiaToday

Watch RT LIVE on our website http://rt.com/on-air

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JPMorgan Faces FBI Investigation over 'London Whale's' Trading Loss - International Business Times

JPMorgan Faces FBI Investigation over 'London Whale's' Trading Loss - International Business Times


By Geetha Pillai: Subscribe to Geetha's
May 16, 2012 9:32 AM GMT
JPMorgan Chase is facing a criminal investigation by the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) and the US Department of Justice as it revealed a huge trading loss at its hedging arm following its high-risk trades.
  •  
JPMorgan had suffered a trading loss of $2bn (£1.2bn) in one of its hedging portfolios and the bank's chief executive Jamie Dimon had termed the loss as self-inflicted.

"The buck always stops with me," said Dimon at the annual shareholders' meeting. He had admitted to "terrible, egregious mistake", resulting in the shocking loss.
The bank's high-risk trade was under the scrutiny of US and the UK investigators from April, according to a Reuters report.

The investigating agencies would be looking into the details of what caused the loss and whether any securities laws were violated.

Dimon would be under pressure to reveal the details of the multi-billion loss at the bank.
At the annual general meeting on Tuesday, the shareholders had backed Dimon's $23m pay packet for 2011 with a 91 per cent voting in its favour. Most of the votes were believed to have been cast before the trading loss announcement was made.
At the AGM, 40 per cent of the shareholders had voted to split Dimon's dual titles of chief executive and chairman.

Read more: http://www.ibtimes.co.uk/articles/341605/20120516/jpmorgan-fbi-inquiry-jamie-dimon-trading-loss.htm#ixzz1v7KtU5Z3

Saturday, May 12, 2012

Facebook IPO: Company Has a Valuation Problem, Skeptic Says

While the majority of Wall Street "Sell Side" Analysts are overwhelmingly bullish, Sageworks, a firm that analyses privately-held companies sounds the alarm that the Facebook IPO valuation is significantly overvalued when judged against its trailing sales or earnings.  Apple would have a valuation of$2.7 trillion, if valued at a multiple similar to Facebook  versus the stock market cap/value of $532 billion.....

Link:
Facebook IPO: Company Has a Valuation Problem, Skeptic Says - MarketBeat - WSJ
By Steven Russolillo





Facebook’s valuation is “significantly overpriced” when compared to other tech giants, says Brian Hamilton, chief executive at Sageworks, a firm that analyses privately-held companies.

Last week, Facebook set the price range for initial public offering at $28 to $35 a share, targeting a valuation as rich as $96 billion. That would be a record debut for an American company.
 

For instance, when Microsoft went public, its valuation was over $500 million and its trailing annual sales were $140 million, a multiple of about 4, he says.

The average valuation of a tech company in recent years has been around four to ten times its trailing sales figures, Hamilton says. By comparison, Facebook is asking for 25 times sales.

 
“Facebook is significantly overpriced and this is clear by looking at the price of the company relative to either sales or earnings,” Hamilton says. ”

Investing in the Facebook IPO may turn out to be a great investment, but right now, the stock is clearly not a bargain.”

Wall Street analysts have started releasing their views on Facebook, which is scheduled to begin trading on May 18. 


The consensus has been overwhelming bullish, so far.


But Hamilton maintains Facebook has a valuation problem. He even attempts to put Facebook’s valuation into perspective by comparing it to Apple, the most valuable company by market capitalization in the world.


“If Apple, which manufactures tangible products, was valued at a multiple comparable to Facebook, Apple’s market capitalization/value today would be approximately $2.7 trillion,” he says.
A
s of Wednesday’s close, Apple had a market cap of $532 billion, according to FactSet Research.

Dow Has Its Worst Week in 5 Months - WSJ.com

 This blog does not normally comment on daily changes in the DJI but this week points out how the index can appear weak because of one heavily weighted listing, in the case, JP Morgan Chase was responsible for 83% of the DJI loss.  The $2 billion loss is an echo of past derivative trading debacles...


Dow Has Its Worst Week in 5 Months - WSJ.com

 By MATT JARZEMSKY
The Dow industrials edged lower to cap their biggest weekly retreat of the year,
as a 9.3% drop in J.P. Morgan Chase's JPM -9.28% shares weighed on the blue-chip index.




Stocks erased most of earlier gains as big trading losses at J.P. Morgan Chase weighed on sentiment but a reading on consumer confidence unexpectedly rose.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 34.44 points, or 0.3%, to 12820.60, erasing earlier gains after reports of a Securities and Exchange Commission review tied to at least $2 billion in trading losses at J.P. Morgan.

J.P. Morgan Chase fell $3.78, to $36.96, its biggest percentage slide since August. The drop accounted for 83% of the Dow's decline. The index fell 1.7% on the week, its worst weekly performance since mid-December.


J.P. Morgan said late Thursday that it had taken at least $2 billion in trading losses in the past six weeks, stemming from bad derivatives bets. The company said it could face an additional $1 billion in losses in the second quarter due to market volatility. The news shaved $14.4 billion from J.P. Morgan's market value, as 216.2 million shares in the bank changed hands, topping the record of 194 million on Nov. 21, 2008.


  Steven Russolillo has details on The News Hub. Photo: Reuters.




Asian markets fell, weighed down by J.P. Morgan Chase's news and some disappointing data out of China. Japan's Nikkei Stock Average and China's Shanghai Composite each shed 0.6%. Industrial output growth in China slowed in April to the lowest level since May 2009.

Crude-oil prices lost 1%, to settle at $96.13, while gold prices declined 0.7%, to finish at $1,583.60 a troy ounce. The dollar rose versus the yen and euro.
 
Source:  http://online.wsj.com

Thursday, May 10, 2012

Discipoled attention

 
“You will never have a greater or lesser dominion than that over yourself...the height of a man's success is gauged by his self-mastery; the depth of his failure by his self-abandonment. ...And this law is the expression of eternal justice. 
He who cannot establish dominion over himself will have no dominion over others.”
Leonardo da Vinci
 
 
“As every divided kingdom falls, so every mind divided between many studies confounds and saps itself.”
Leonardo da Vinci
 
 

Wednesday, May 9, 2012

Greed

“All that glisters is not gold;
Often have you heard that told:
Many a man his life hath sold
But my outside to behold:
Gilded tombs do worms enfold.”

William Shakespeare, The Merchant of Venice


 
“He who wishes to be rich within a day, will be hanged within a year.”
Leonardo da Vinci


 

Friday, May 4, 2012

Company News - Aura Minerals

Aura is being followed on this blog for educational purposes because it is a good business case operating  mines internationally  mining copper and  gold.  Gold has been in an eleven years rise.  "Copper is the metal with a Phd in Economics" is an expression alluding to the predictive qualities of the price of copper. 

Aura  gives the follower of the company reason to watch the underlying metals and other factors judged by the price of Aura. 

The gold price has been rising yet the stock price has been in a steady decline for 4 or more years.  What are the reasons that would cause a company to see loss of values in its share price while the minerals it produces have been in a steady rise?

 Labour relations are important when a company has 1335 employees mostly in foreign countries.  Ore grades and mining methods are another place to look for hints about the poor stock price performance. Possible geopolitical risk increases caused by changing governments in Brazil, Honduras or Mexico need investigating.  Management problems are another area  to be investigated to eliminate as a reason for the price decline. .Are the share prices of similar companies in a steady decline or does Aura's under performance stand out?

The company will be announcing first quarter results in under 2 weeks and some answers may be given to better understand the company.  Are they reaching their production targets and grades of the ore produced?
Are the costs of mining improving? 
Company News | Markets | Financial Post

 Aura Minerals Announces First Quarter 2012 Conference Call Details

04/30/2012-13:30:52

VANCOUVER, BRITISH COLUMBIA, Apr 30, 2012 (MARKETWIRE via COMTEX News Network) -- Aura Minerals Inc. ("Aura Minerals" or the "Company") (TSX: ORA)
announces that the
Company will release its first quarter 2012
financial and operational results, after the close of business on
Tuesday, May 15, 2012.  
A conference call and audio webcast will
follow on Wednesday, May 16, 2012 at 9 a.m. (eastern time) for
management to discuss the results. This discussion will be followed
by a question-and-answer period with investors.
The conference call replay will be available from 2 p.m. eastern time
on May 16, 2012, until 11:59 p.m. eastern time on May 30, 2012.


About Aura Minerals Inc.

Aura Minerals is a Canadian mid-tier gold and copper production
company focused on the exploration, development and operation of gold
and base metal projects in the Americas.

The Company's producing assets include the San Andres gold mine in Honduras, 
the Sao Francisco and Sao Vicente gold mines in Brazil and the
copper-gold-silver Aranzazu Mine in Mexico. 

Other significant assets include the feasibility-stage copper-gold-iron ore Serrote de Laje
project (formerly, the Arapiraca Project) in Brazil.

For further information, please visit Aura Minerals' web site at
www.auraminerals.com.